Little, Daniel & Donkin, Chris: Vietnam draft numbers

Little, Daniel & Donkin, Chris

The numbers reveal the government didn’t play “god” with the Vietnam draft‘, The Conversation, 2 July 2015

Despite the claims of former conscript and former deputy prime minister, Tim Fischer, mathematical analysis suggests that the Vietnam conscription draw wasn’t rigged. ‘If anything’, the authors say, ‘we should expect that most and least drawn dates should be more different than they actually were. Again, our expectations for what is random do not reflect the underlying true outcomes from random sampling.’ So, even if, in the view of the unlucky number winner writing this note, the policy may have been a bastard the process was OK.


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